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Aidan Kim vs Blaise Bicknell

Tennis
2025-09-09 18:02
Start: 2025-09-10 14:00

Summary

Pick: home
EV: 0.09

Current Odds

Home 1.88|Away 1.88
Best Odds

Match Info

Match key: Aidan Kim_Blaise Bicknell_2025-09-10

Analysis

Summary: We favor Aidan Kim at 1.88 — our estimated 58% win probability gives ~9% expected value versus the current market.

Highlights

  • Kim has a stronger win rate in the provided data
  • Current odds (1.88) understate Kim's chance in our view, producing positive EV

Pros

  • + Clearer recent event activity for Kim (played at Winston Salem recently)
  • + Higher winning percentage in the provided career snapshot

Cons

  • - Limited sample sizes and noisy/misaligned stat entries in the research
  • - No H2H data and no explicit injury updates — uncertainty remains

Details

We view Aidan Kim as the value side at the listed 1.88 moneyline. Kim's career record in the provided data (18-9) shows a notably higher win rate than Blaise Bicknell (18-15). Both players have recent hard-court activity, but Kim is shown playing at this Winston Salem event on 08-Sep-2025, indicating match sharpness at the venue/surface. Bicknell's recent matches in the research end on 18-Aug-2025 with mixed results, suggesting slightly less recent form. With symmetric market odds (1.88/1.88) implying the market views this as essentially even, our read of the profiles and recent activity gives Kim a clear edge. Comparing our estimated true probability (0.58) to the market decimal price (1.88 -> implied ~0.532), we find positive expected value (EV = 0.58*1.88 - 1 = +0.0904), so backing the home player represents a ~9.0% edge against the current price. We note the sample sizes are modest and there is no H2H or explicit injury info, so we set a cautious probability premium but still enough to justify a play at these odds.

Key factors

  • Kim's superior recorded win-loss ratio in the provided profiles (18-9 vs 18-15)
  • Both players have hard-court experience, but Kim has a listed recent match at Winston Salem (08-Sep-2025) suggesting better event form
  • Market shows even pricing (1.88 each); our model gives Kim a meaningful probability edge (~58%) producing positive EV