Alena Fomina-Klotz / Giorgia Pedone vs Kaja Juvan / Kristina Novak
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We see no value at the current 1.84 quotes given limited away-player data and no information on the home team; the current price produces negative EV versus our conservative 50% probability.
Highlights
- • Current odds (1.84) imply ~54.3% — higher than our conservative 50% estimate
- • Insufficient doubles data on the home team increases uncertainty and reduces edge
Pros
- + Market parity — both sides are available at the same price
- + Away players have known surface experience (clay/hard) in the provided profiles
Cons
- - No doubles-specific form or head-to-head information provided for either pairing
- - Provided singles records for Juvan/Novak are modest (10-21), which does not suggest a clear advantage
Details
We find the market priced this match as even (1.84/1.84) which implies ~54.3% for each side. The only concrete data available are singles profiles for Kaja Juvan and Kristina Novak showing modest recent results (10-21 overall in the provided span) and activity on clay and hard courts; there is no provided doubles form or any information on the home pairing (Alena Fomina-Klotz / Giorgia Pedone). Given the asymmetric information (no data for the home team) and the middling recent results for the listed away players, we adopt a conservative estimated true win probability of 50% for either side. At that probability, the current decimal price of 1.84 produces negative expected value (EV = 0.50 * 1.84 - 1 = -0.08), so there is no value to recommend a bet. For this match to be profitable from our estimate the market would need to offer at least 2.00 on the chosen side.
Key factors
- • Market is symmetric (both sides 1.84) implying ~54.3% each
- • Provided profiles show limited and modest recent results for Juvan and Novak (10-21) with play on clay and hard
- • No doubles-specific form or any information supplied for the home pairing, increasing uncertainty