Angela Fita Boluda / Arantxa Rus vs Anastasia Tikhonova / Tara Wuerth
Tennis
2025-09-11 06:36
Start: 2025-09-12 08:00
Summary
No pick
EV: -0.02
Current Odds
Home 1.485|Away 2.49
Best Odds
Match Info
Match key: Angela Fita Boluda / Arantxa Rus_Anastasia Tikhonova / Tara Wuerth_2025-09-12
Analysis
Summary: We find no value at the current prices; the home favorite is priced slightly too short relative to our estimate and the available information is insufficient to justify backing either side.
Highlights
- • Home decimal 1.485 => implied probability ~67.3%
- • Our assessed true probability for home is ~66% → negative EV at current price
Pros
- + Home pair is the market favorite, indicating some baseline advantage
- + Arantxa Rus is an experienced player who can anchor a doubles pairing
Cons
- - Research shows limited recent form and losing records for the listed players
- - No doubles/head-to-head or partnership data provided to identify a hidden edge
Details
Market prices make the home pair (Fita Boluda / Rus) a clear favorite at decimal 1.485 (implied ~67.3%). The available player research shows broadly similar singles-level records and recent poor form for the listed players, with no doubles-specific results or clear surface edge to justify a materially higher win probability for the home team. We estimate the true probability for the home pair at ≈66%, which produces a slight negative EV at the quoted price, so there is no value to back either side at current moneyline prices.
Key factors
- • No doubles-specific performance data available for either pairing in the provided research
- • All four players show similar singles-level records and recent form (more losses than wins)
- • Market-implied probability (~67.3% for home) is slightly higher than our assessed true probability (66%), leaving no positive EV