Anri Nagata/Michika Ozeki vs Jiatong Cai/Niehua Tian
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We do not recommend a bet; the favorite is overvalued at 1.19 based on the limited and unimpressive data for the home players and the absence of any info on the opponents.
Highlights
- • Home implied probability at 1.19 = ~84%
- • Our estimated true probability for the home pair = 35% → no value
Pros
- + Home players are at least documented in provided research (some measurable form data)
- + Market clearly favors the home side, so a contra-bet could be attractive if further away-team intel appears
Cons
- - Home players' win-loss records and recent results are weak
- - No data on the opponents or doubles-specific performance to justify the short price
Details
We find no value on the heavy favorite (home) at 1.19. From the provided profiles, Anri Nagata and Michika Ozeki both show limited success (career records 10-21) and recent poor form; there is no provided data on the opposing team (Jiatong Cai/Niehua Tian) or doubles-specific results to justify a >80% win probability. The market price (1.19) implies ~84.0% probability, which is far above our estimate of their true chance (~35%). With that gap the expected ROI backing the home side at current odds is strongly negative. Given the information gap on the away team and the home players' unimpressive records, we decline to recommend a bet.
Key factors
- • Home pair's provided career records are weak (both 10-21) and recent form appears poor
- • No information provided on the away team or doubles history, creating high uncertainty
- • Market price (1.19) implies ~84% chance — far above our justified estimate (~35%)