Ashmitha Easwaramurthi vs Sharanya Shetty
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We do not recommend betting on this match: available data does not support the market's extreme favorite pricing and uncertainty about the opponent prevents a value estimate that produces positive EV.
Highlights
- • Book implies home win ~87.7% (1/1.14), which is far above Ashmitha's career win rate (~52.4%).
- • Insufficient information on Sharanya Shetty and recent form creates high uncertainty; current prices do not offer value based on available data.
Pros
- + Ashmitha has extensive match experience and a positive career record.
- + Market identifies a clear favorite, which can be right if there is undisclosed information.
Cons
- - Public data shows only a modest career win rate and recent losses — not consistent with an 87.7% expectation.
- - No data on the opponent or surface/context to justify large deviations from career-level probabilities.
Details
We find no reliable value to back at the quoted prices. The market makes Ashmitha an overwhelming favorite (decimal 1.14 => implied ~87.7%), but the only objective performance data available (career record 559-507, ~52.4% career win rate and recent losses listed) does not support such an extreme forecast. With no data on Sharanya Shetty (no H2H, ranking, or form provided) the market skew could reflect information we do not have, so we cannot confidently assign a true win probability high enough to justify betting the favorite. Using a conservative estimated true probability for Ashmitha of 60% (reflecting career win rate adjusted slightly up for experience but trimmed by recent losses and uncertainty), the EV on the current home price (1.14) is strongly negative (EV = 0.60 * 1.14 - 1 = -0.316). Conversely, backing the underdog at 5.30 would require us to believe the away win probability is >= 18.87% to be breakeven; we lack evidence to assign a reliable >18.9% probability to the away player. Given the incomplete matchup information and the bookmaker's steep price, we decline to recommend a side.
Key factors
- • Ashmitha career record 559-507 (~52.4% career win rate)
- • Recent listed matches show losses, reducing confidence above career average
- • Bookmaker pricing implies a ~87.7% chance for the favorite with no public evidence supporting that magnitude