Brandy Walker vs Elizabeth Jurna
Summary
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: Market price (1.06) overstates Brandy Walker's chances based on her documented 10-21 record and recent losses; there is no value to back either side with the information provided.
Highlights
- • Brandy Walker's supplied career win rate (~32%) conflicts with the 94% market implication
- • No information on Elizabeth Jurna to justify heavy favoritism toward Walker
Pros
- + We have a clear career record and recent-match indicators for Walker from the provided research
- + Market is offering an extremely short price which is easy to evaluate vs. documented form
Cons
- - Insufficient information on the opponent (Elizabeth Jurna) and contextual factors (injuries, head-to-head, exact surface advantage)
- - If unseen information favors Walker strongly, our estimate could be materially wrong
Details
We compare the market price (Brandy Walker 1.06 implied ~94.3%) to the player's documented track record and recent form. Walker's career record in the provided profile is 10-21 (≈32% win rate) with recent losses on hard courts and no supporting evidence that she is a 94% probability favorite. There is no information provided on Elizabeth Jurna to justify the market skew. Given Walker's poor win-loss history and the absence of any advantage indicators (injury to opponent, strong recent run, favorable surface matchup), the market price for Walker appears drastically overconfident and offers no value. To be profitable at these prices we would need substantially more evidence that Walker's true win probability is near the market implied level, which the supplied research does not support.
Key factors
- • Walker career record 10-21 (≈32% win rate) from supplied profile
- • Recent match results show losses on hard courts (no winning momentum)
- • Market-implied probability (94%) is not supported by provided evidence and opponent information is missing