CPH Wolves vs Metizport
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: With no additional information and a very small gap between our conservative win estimate and market pricing, we find no positive value on either side at current prices and recommend no bet.
Highlights
- • Metizport priced as a slim favorite at 1.806 (market implied ~55.4%)
- • Our conservative win estimate (55.0%) implies fair odds 1.818, slightly above the offered price
Pros
- + Market is tight and close to our conservative estimate — low likelihood of a large mispricing
- + If additional positive intel for Metizport emerges (favorable map pool, lineup advantage), small value could appear
Cons
- - Current price for Metizport (1.806) is marginally worse than our fair price (1.818), producing negative EV
- - No available data on maps, recent results or roster status increases uncertainty
Details
We have no external scouting or form data and therefore apply conservative estimates. The market prices show Metizport as a slim favorite at 1.806 (implied 55.36%) and CPH Wolves at 1.971 (implied 50.75%). Our conservative estimated true probability for Metizport is 55.0% (0.55). At that estimate the minimum fair decimal price for value would be 1.818; the available price 1.806 is slightly below that threshold, producing a small negative expected value (-0.67% ROI). Given the lack of additional information (roster changes, map pool, form, injuries, venue) and the very small margin, we do not identify positive value at current prices and therefore recommend no bet.
Key factors
- • No external data available on recent form, rosters, map pool or injuries — we remain conservative
- • Market implies Metizport is a slight favorite (55.4%); our conservative estimate is 55.0%
- • Required fair odds (1.818) are marginally higher than the available price (1.806), yielding a small negative EV