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Club Joventut Badalona vs Real Betis play on 2025-11-03 04:38 in the Liga ACB (ebasketball). Compare ebasketball odds, line movement, and our modelβs edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: -10.0%. No recommended side at current prices. Moneyline β Home: 1.5 (66.7%), Away: 2.5 (40.0%).
No clear edge at current prices. We recommend passing or waiting for line movement.
Home: 1.5, Away: 2.5. Odds may update frequently.
No bet recommended right now.
We compared the market moneyline (Joventut 1.50, Real Betis 2.50) to our conservative win-probability assessment. The market-implied probability for Joventut at 1.50 is roughly 66.7%, but after accounting for a visible bookmaker overround (~6.7%) and limited match-specific evidence in the research (no clear injury or form edge provided), we estimate Joventut's true win probability at ~60.0%. That implies fair decimal odds of 1.667. At the available price of 1.50 the expected value is negative (EV = 0.60 * 1.50 - 1 = -0.10), so there is no value to back the home favourite. We therefore recommend taking no side unless better odds (>= 1.667) appear.
Summary: No value on Joventut at 1.50 β our model puts their win chance near 60% which requires odds β1.667 for breakeven; current price produces negative EV.