Loading...
Preparing your betting insights...
Preparing your betting insights...
Czech Republic vs Montenegro play on 2026-02-03 01:28 in the FIBA Europe (ebasketball). Compare ebasketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 6.9%. Suggested side: Czech Republic. Moneyline — Home: 1.37 (73.0%), Away: 3 (33.3%).
Our lean: Czech Republic. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.37, Away: 3. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Czech Republic moneyline given current prices.
We estimate the Czech Republic is undervalued at the current home moneyline (1.37). The market-implied probability is ~73.0% (1/1.37). Based on available research—Czech recent strong performance including a decisive EuroBasket win at home, Montenegro's poor recent run (2 wins in last 10), and limited but mixed H2H history—we estimate a true win probability for Czechia of 78%. That implies the fair decimal price is ~1.282. Using the quoted 1.37 yields positive expected value: 0.78 * 1.37 - 1 ≈ +0.069 (6.9% ROI). We see home advantage, recent form, and the eSim betting market liquidity as supportive factors; H2H sample is small and Montenegro can be volatile, which keeps the recommendation conservative but still value-positive at current prices.
Summary: We find value on the Czech Republic moneyline at 1.37 — our conservative true win probability (78%) produces ~6.9% expected ROI.