D. Jakupovic/N. Radisic vs A. Anshba/E. Silva

Highlights

• • Estimated true probability for Anshba/E. Silva: 35% (fair odds 2.857).
• • At current away odds 2.45 EV is negative (-0.143), so no value.

Pros

• + Conservative estimate based on the only available player data avoids overreach.
• + Clear numeric comparison between our fair odds and market odds supports decision.

Cons

• - Research is incomplete — no data on Jakupovic, Radisic, or Anshba, which increases uncertainty.
• - Doubles-specific form and partnership dynamics are not available, limiting precision.

Details

We find no value for either side at current market prices. The only concrete research provided concerns E. Silva, who has a poor recent record (10-21) and weak recent results, which suggests the Anshba/E. Silva pairing is the underdog. Conservatively we estimate the away pair's true win probability at 35% (0.35). That implies fair decimal odds of 1 / 0.35 = 2.857. The current away price is 2.45 (odds_used_for_ev = 2.45), which implies an expected value of EV = 0.35 * 2.45 - 1 = -0.1425 (negative), so it is not a value bet. The home price of 1.52 implies an implied probability of 65.79%, which is slightly higher than our complementary estimate for the home side (65%), so the market is roughly aligned or slightly favoring home beyond fair value. Given limited data (only one player profile provided) and a negative EV on the only side we can meaningfully assess, we do not recommend taking a side here.

Key factors

• • E. Silva's recent singles record is poor (10-21), indicating form concerns
• • Research contains limited/no information on Jakupovic, Radisic, or Anshba and doubles chemistry
• • Current market prices (Home 1.52, Away 2.45) do not exceed our required fair odds for the underdog