Daniel Milavsky vs Blaise Bicknell
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We find small positive value on Daniel Milavsky at 1.61 given his stronger record and grass experience; the edge is modest and sensitive to our probability estimate.
Highlights
- • Milavsky carries a substantially higher career win rate in the provided data
- • Surface familiarity (grass) tilts the matchup toward Milavsky
Pros
- + Clear win-rate advantage in the provided profiles
- + Direct surface advantage: Milavsky has grass experience while Bicknell does not
Cons
- - Edge is small (≈3.0% ROI) so outcomes are sensitive to estimation error
- - Limited head-to-head and recent-form detail in the provided research increases uncertainty
Details
We view Daniel Milavsky as the value side. Milavsky's career record in the provided data (40-15) shows a materially higher win rate than Blaise Bicknell (18-15) across similar sample sizes, and Milavsky has recorded matches on grass while Bicknell's provided history lists clay and hard only — this surface familiarity favors Milavsky in a grass qualifier. The bookmaker price of 1.61 implies a win probability of 62.11%; our assessment of Milavsky's true chance is higher at 64.0% based on superior overall win-rate, greater match volume, and surface edge. At the current decimal price (1.61) that translates to a small positive edge (EV ≈ +0.0304 per unit). Given the tight margin, this is a modest-value bet rather than a large overlay.
Key factors
- • Milavsky superior win-loss record (40-15) vs Bicknell (18-15)
- • Milavsky has recorded matches on grass; Bicknell's history lacks grass experience
- • Current market odds (1.61) understate Milavsky if his grass/overall form advantage holds