E. Perez/F. Stollar - vs J. Cristian/Su-Wei Hsieh
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We find a modest value backing the home pair at 1.61 due to Hsieh's weak recent form on hard courts; the estimated edge is small but positive.
Highlights
- • Current market (1.61) implies ~62% — we estimate ~66%
- • Hsieh's recent results and hard-court losses lower the away side's probability
Pros
- + Positive expected value at quoted home odds
- + Supported by opponent's documented poor recent form on hard courts
Cons
- - Analysis relies on limited data (available research focuses on Su-Wei Hsieh and not full doubles context)
- - Edge is modest — match-specific doubles chemistry or unreported factors could negate value
Details
We compared the market price (home 1.61 => implied win prob ~62.1%) to our assessment based on the available research. Su-Wei Hsieh has a weak recent record (10-21 across 2024-2025) and recent documented losses on hard courts, which suggests the Cristian/Hsieh pairing is at a form disadvantage. Given the limited data on doubles partnerships and to remain conservative we raise the home win probability above the market to 66.0%, which still reflects uncertainty but yields positive expected value at the quoted home price of 1.61. We therefore identify a small value edge backing the home team at current odds.
Key factors
- • Su-Wei Hsieh has a poor recent win-loss record (10-21) in the provided span
- • Recent documented losses on hard courts indicate form issues on the likely surface
- • Market implies ~62.1% for home; our conservative true estimate is ~66%, creating a small edge