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England Premier League 2025 vs 26 - Newcastle play on 2026-05-24 18:00 in the England Premier League (football). Compare football odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 35948.0%. Suggested side: England Premier League 2025. Moneyline — Home: 751 (0.1%), Away: 751 (0.1%).
Global 11v11 sport with two 45-minute halves; major leagues worldwide.
Our lean: England Premier League 2025. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 751, Away: 751. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: England Premier League 2025 moneyline given current prices.
We have no external research returned and proceed with conservative assumptions. The posted decimal moneyline for both sides is 751.0, which implies an individual win probability of ~0.133% (1/751). That price is effectively a market/data error or extreme outlier; even a cautious, conservative estimate of the home team's true win probability (we use 48% given normal home advantage in top-tier league matches) is vastly higher than the market-implied 0.133%. Using our estimate (0.48) the fair decimal price would be ~2.083. At the quoted 751.0, EV = 0.48 * 751 - 1 = 359.48 units per 1 unit staked, which represents enormous theoretical value. We recommend backing the home side only because value exists at the current quoted price; however, this recommendation assumes the quoted 751.0 is available and not a data error. If the quoted price is not real or the market corrects to normal levels, the value disappears.