Eunchae Kim/Hwiwon Wi vs N. Kawaguchi/Dabin Kim
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We find no value on the favorite at 1.22; a fair price for the away side would be ~1.667 given our 60% estimate, so we recommend no bet.
Highlights
- • Available info suggests both named players have comparable, weak singles/doubles records
- • Current favorite price (1.22) is too short relative to our estimated probability
Pros
- + Market clearly identifies an away favorite, so liquidity/price availability is likely high
- + If additional positive info on the away team emerges (partner strength), value could appear
Cons
- - Insufficient information on partners and doubles-specific form increases uncertainty
- - Current odds (1.22) offer negative expected ROI versus our conservative probability
Details
We estimate that the away pair (N. Kawaguchi/Dabin Kim) is the market favorite at decimal 1.22, but available research shows both Eunchae Kim and Dabin Kim have similar limited records (10-21) on clay/hard with recent poor form. There is no information on the partners (Hwiwon Wi or N. Kawaguchi) or head-to-head, so our model conservatively assigns the away side a true win probability of 60%. At p=0.60 the fair decimal price would be ~1.667, meaning the current price of 1.22 is too short and offers negative expectation. Because the expected ROI at the quoted market price is negative, we do not recommend a bet.
Key factors
- • Both tracked players (Eunchae Kim and Dabin Kim) show similar career records (10-21) and weak recent form
- • No data provided on the doubles partners (Hwiwon Wi or N. Kawaguchi) or team chemistry
- • Market price (away 1.22) implies ~82% win chance which is well above our conservative estimate