Highlights

• • Our estimated win probability (52%) implies min odds 1.923; current 1.952 is slightly better.
• • Edge is small — positive EV but sensitive to estimation error.

Pros

• + Market currently offers slightly better odds than our conservative estimate
• + Simple, small-value opportunity consistent with value-betting discipline

Cons

• - No recent data (form, maps, roster changes) available — high estimation uncertainty
• - Edge is small and could be erased by slight errors in our probability estimate

Details

We have no contemporary web data, so we apply conservative assumptions and treat FaZe as a slight favorite based on roster stability and typical parity in top-tier CS2 matchups. We estimate FaZe's true win probability at 52.0%; the market price of 1.952 implies ~51.2%, so the market is offering slightly better value than our estimate. Calculation: EV = 0.52 * 1.952 - 1 = 0.01504 (≈1.5% ROI). The minimum decimal odds to justify a bet at our estimated probability are 1.923; the available price (1.952) exceeds that threshold, producing positive expected value. Given the lack of injury/form/H2H specifics, we remain conservative with the probability and flag elevated uncertainty.

Key factors

• • No external research available — conservative assumptions only
• • Market-implied probability for FaZe (1.952) is slightly lower than our estimate
• • High uncertainty due to missing form/injury/H2H details