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Farjestads BK vs HC Orebro play on 2025-10-11 16:00 in the SHL (Ice Hockey). Compare Ice Hockey odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: -6.4%. No recommended side at current prices. Moneyline — Home: 1.56 (64.1%), Away: 4.7 (21.3%).
Fast-paced 6v6 on ice; three 20-minute periods with overtime rules for ties.
No clear edge at current prices. We recommend passing or waiting for line movement.
Home: 1.56, Away: 4.7. Odds may update frequently.
No bet recommended right now.
We view Farjestads BK as the clear favorite but, using conservative assumptions in the absence of external data, we estimate Farjestads' true win probability at about 60%. At that probability the fair decimal price is ~1.667, meaning the current market price of 1.56 does not offer value (it implies a win probability of ~64.1%). Conversely, HC Orebro would need a true win probability >21.3% to be +EV at 4.70; our conservative estimate for the away side is lower than that. Given both sides produce negative expected value versus our probability estimates, we recommend no bet at the quoted market prices.
Summary: No value at available prices: Farjestads is likely the better team but 1.56 offers negative expected value versus our 60% win estimate, so we pass.