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HV71 vs Rogle BK play on 2025-10-18 13:15 in the SHL (ice hockey). Compare ice hockey odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 14.2%. Suggested side: HV71. Moneyline — Home: 2.72 (36.8%), Away: 2.12 (47.2%).
Fast-paced 6v6 on ice; three 20-minute periods with overtime rules for ties.
Our lean: HV71. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 2.72, Away: 2.12. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: HV71 moneyline given current prices.
We assess value on HV71 at 2.72. Market prices make the away side a narrow favorite, but available research shows mixed recent form between the clubs and H2H results that are split across recent seasons. Playing at Husqvarna Garden gives HV71 a meaningful home edge in a matchup where Rögles' recent wins are not dominant in the very latest sample. Using a conservative true-win estimate for HV71 of 42% versus the market-implied 36.8% (1/2.72), the home price of 2.72 offers positive expected value. At our 42% estimate the fair decimal threshold is ~2.381, below the current 2.72, producing an EV of ~0.142 per 1 unit stake. Given limited injury and lineup information in the research, we remain conservative with probability sizing but still find value at the quoted home line.
Summary: We find value on HV71 at 2.72 based on home advantage and split recent form; our conservative 42% win probability yields a ~14% ROI edge.