Irina Khromacheva / Ashlyn Krueger vs Tereza Mihalikova / Olivia Nicholls
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: Given the limited, poor recent form data for the home pair and no information on the opponents, we estimate a 50% win chance for the home side—insufficient to justify backing them at 1.714.
Highlights
- • Home decimal price 1.714 implies ~58.4% probability
- • Our conservative estimated probability is 50%, producing negative EV at current odds
Pros
- + Home players have recent hard-court matches in the provided data (surface familiarity)
- + Home team is the market favorite, so liquidity/price availability is high
Cons
- - Both home players show poor recent win-loss records in the provided research
- - No opponent performance or H2H data provided, increasing estimation uncertainty
Details
We value-checked the market price (home 1.714 implied ~58.4%) against our conservative estimated win probability for Irina Khromacheva / Ashlyn Krueger of 50%. Given the limited data (only individual recent results with losing records and no opponent doubles data provided), we do not see justification for a true win probability above the market-implied level. At our estimate the expected return on a 1-unit stake at the current home price is negative (EV = 0.50 * 1.714 - 1 = -0.143), so there is no value to back the home side at 1.714. Because research contains no performance or ranking information for Tereza Mihalikova / Olivia Nicholls in the provided sources, we cannot confidently upgrade our probability estimate for either side; the prudent decision is to pass.
Key factors
- • Market-implied probability for home (1.714) is ~58.4%, higher than our conservative estimate
- • Provided recent form for home players shows weak win-loss records and losses on hard courts
- • No data provided on the away pair in the research, increasing uncertainty and downside risk