Highlights

• • Profiles show parity (10-21 records) with no differentiators in research
• • Current away odds (5.59) imply value if true win probability ≥30%

Pros

• + Large potential ROI at current market price if our conservative probability estimate is correct
• + Bookmaker margin/line suggests possible mispricing given the supplied player data

Cons

• - Research is limited and provides no tournament-form, H2H, or injury context — higher uncertainty
• - If home player has unreported factors (form, seeding, local advantage), true probability for away could be much lower

Details

Both players' provided profiles show near-identical career records (10-21) and no injury or H2H details in the research, indicating parity. The market, however, heavily favors the home player at 1.174 (implied ~85%); that price appears inconsistent with the available performance data. If we conservatively estimate Hibah Shaikh's true chance at 30%, the current away price of 5.59 offers substantial value (EV = 0.30 * 5.59 - 1 = +0.677). We therefore recommend the away side because the bookmaker's implied probability materially understates a reasonable estimated win probability based on the supplied profiles and lack of distinguishing information.

Key factors

• • Both players show nearly identical win-loss records in the supplied data (10-21), suggesting parity
• • No injury, head-to-head, or clear surface advantage information is provided to justify the heavy favorite price
• • Market price for home (1.174) implies a probability far higher than supported by the supplied profiles, creating potential mispricing