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Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats play on 2025-10-25 16:00 in the NCAA (american football). Compare american football odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: -6.3%. No recommended side at current prices. Moneyline — Home: 1.65 (60.6%), Away: 2.26 (44.2%).
No clear edge at current prices. We recommend passing or waiting for line movement.
Home: 1.65, Away: 2.26. Odds may update frequently.
No bet recommended right now.
We compare market prices (Kansas Jayhawks ML 1.65, implied 60.6%) to published model probabilities and available previews. ESPN's model gives Kansas a 56.8% chance (Kansas State 43.2%), and multiple betting previews/picks are close but not more bullish than the market. Using the 56.8% estimate for Kansas, the fair decimal price would be about 1.761; the current home price of 1.65 is shorter than our fair price and therefore offers negative expected value. Conversely, Kansas State at 2.26 (implied 44.2%) is slightly longer than the 43.2% model probability but still produces a small negative EV at that price. There are no clear injury or venue edges in the provided reports that materially shift our probabilities away from the published models, and H2H/ATS notes are mixed. Given these inputs, neither side presents positive value at the quoted market prices.
Summary: We find no positive expected value on either side at current moneyline prices; the market overprices Kansas relative to the best available model (56.8%), so we recommend no bet.