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Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddy play on 2025-12-20 18:00 in the ATP (tennis). Compare tennis odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: -5.0%. No recommended side at current prices. Moneyline — Home: 1.32 (75.8%), Away: 3.35 (29.9%).
The global men’s professional tennis tour governed by the ATP.
Tournaments range from ATP 250 to Masters 1000 and Grand Slams.
Official: https://www.atptour.com · Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_of_Tennis_Professionals
No clear edge at current prices. We recommend passing or waiting for line movement.
Home: 1.32, Away: 3.35. Odds may update frequently.
No bet recommended right now.
We cannot find demonstrable value on either side given the available research and the quoted market prices. The market moneyline implies the home player is strongly favored (implied raw probability 1/1.32 = 75.8%; normalized to account for bookmaker margin yields ~72%). With no match-specific data in the provided research (no form, injury, head-to-head, or surface/venue specifics beyond general ATP surface guidance) we adopt a conservative estimated true probability for the home player of 72%. At the quoted home price (1.32) that estimated probability produces a negative expected value (EV = 0.72 * 1.32 - 1 = -0.0496), so the market price is too short to back the favorite profitably. To secure positive EV on the home side we would need the price to be >= 1.389. Given the lack of additional information to justify a materially higher true probability, we decline to recommend a bet.