Leolia Jeanjean / Victoria Rodriguez vs Ingrid Gamarra Martins / Laura Pigossi
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We see a small but positive expected value on the away side (Gamarra Martins / Pigossi) at 1.602 driven by Pigossi's experience versus the less-proven home pairing; edge is modest and uncertainty is material.
Highlights
- • Away implied probability 62.4% vs our estimate 64.0%
- • Positive EV ≈ +0.025 (2.5% ROI) at current price
Pros
- + Clear experience advantage with Pigossi on the away team
- + Market price offers a slight cushion above our fair odds
Cons
- - Research shows overall recent poor form across multiple players, increasing variance
- - Limited H2H and matchup-specific detail in the provided data raises uncertainty
Details
We compare the market-implied probability (Away at 1.602 implies ~62.4%) to our estimated true chance. Laura Pigossi brings substantial career doubles experience and a winning pedigree relative to the other three players in the research, while the listed profiles for Jeanjean and Rodriguez suggest limited match volume and recent poor results. The research shows unified recent struggles across several players, but Pigossi's depth and likely superior doubles nous tilt the matchup toward Ingrid Gamarra Martins / Laura Pigossi. At an estimated true probability of 64.0% the Away line at 1.602 yields a small positive edge (EV = 0.64*1.602 - 1 = 0.02528). We also account for uncertainty from limited head-to-head and mixed form, so the recommended stake reflects a modest value opportunity rather than a large mispricing.
Key factors
- • Laura Pigossi's extensive career and doubles experience relative to opponents
- • Home pairing (Jeanjean/Rodriguez) shows limited match wins and recent poor results in provided profiles
- • Market-implied probability (62.4%) slightly below our estimated true probability (64%), producing positive EV