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Liu S S / Tan N vs Hsu Y C / Sung Y-H play on 2025-10-09 13:50 in the Arctic Open, WD (Badminton). Compare Badminton odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: -34.4%. No recommended side at current prices. Moneyline — Home: 1.02 (98.0%), Away: 8.2 (12.2%).
No clear edge at current prices. We recommend passing or waiting for line movement.
Home: 1.02, Away: 8.2. Odds may update frequently.
No bet recommended right now.
We compared the market prices (home 1.02 / away 8.2) to conservative true-probability estimates given the absence of external information on form, injuries, surface or H2H. The market-implied probabilities are extreme (home ~98.0%, away ~12.2%). To find value on the away side at 8.2 the underdogs would need a true win probability above ~12.20%. Given no supporting data and the natural uncertainty in match outcomes, we assign a conservative true chance for the away pair of 8.0%, which is well below the threshold for positive EV. Therefore there is no positive expected-value bet at the quoted prices.
Summary: No value identified at current prices: we estimate the away pair's true win chance at ~8%, which makes the away price (8.2) negative EV and the heavy favorite price (1.02) require an implausibly high true probability to be +EV.