Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: Given near-identical profiles and no clear differentiator in the Research, Lola Radivojevic at 2.63 represents value versus an overpriced favorite; we estimate ~42% win chance producing ~10.5% ROI at current odds.
Highlights
- • Market implies ~38% for Lola; our estimate is ~42%
- • Required fair odds (2.381) are below the offered 2.63, creating positive EV
Pros
- + Price (2.63) is materially above our fair-price threshold
- + Both players' recent form and records suggest a close match, supporting underdog value
Cons
- - Research shows limited differentiation—uncertainty remains high
- - No head-to-head or injury detail provided to further support the selection
Details
We see nearly identical career records and recent form in the Research for both players (10-21 each, similar recent losses), which supports a close match-up. The market currently prices Oksana Selekhmeteva as a clear favorite at 1.495 (implied ~66.9%) while Lola Radivojevic is available at 2.63 (implied ~38.0%). Given the parity in records, surfaces played (both have clay and hard experience), and lack of any clear injury or head-to-head advantage in the provided data, we estimate Lola's true win probability is meaningfully higher than the 38% implied by the odds—we estimate 42%. At that probability the minimum fair decimal price is ~2.381 and the offered 2.63 yields positive expected value. We therefore recommend betting the home player (Lola Radivojevic) only because the market appears to overvalue the away player relative to the evidence in the provided Research.
Key factors
- • Both players show nearly identical career records and recent form in the provided Research
- • No clear surface or injury advantage for either player in the given data
- • Market strongly favors the away player; current underdog odds (2.63) appear to contain value versus our 42% estimate