Lucie Petruzelova vs Ella Haavisto
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: No value found — both players look evenly matched in the research and current prices imply probabilities above our 50% estimate, producing negative EVs.
Highlights
- • Market-implied probabilities: Home 56.3%, Away 52.4%
- • Required odds to break even given our 50% estimate: 2.00+ decimal
Pros
- + Market prices are close, reflecting the lack of a clear edge
- + Research shows no clear injuries or surface advantage to exploit
Cons
- - Both players are in poor recent form per provided records
- - Small sample of useful differentiating data — uncertainty remains high
Details
We see nearly identical profiles and recent results for Lucie Petruzelova and Ella Haavisto in the provided data (both 10-21, played clay and hard, limited form edge). With no H2H, injury, or surface advantage information in the research, we assign an intrinsic 50.0% win probability to each player. Current market prices (Home 1.775 → implied 56.3%; Away 1.909 → implied 52.4%) both imply a higher probability than our 50% estimate, so neither price offers positive expected value. EV calculations: Home EV = 0.50 * 1.775 - 1 = -0.1125; Away EV = 0.50 * 1.909 - 1 = -0.0455. Given these negative EVs and absence of an identifiable edge in the research, we do not recommend placing a bet.
Key factors
- • Both players show identical season records (10-21) in the provided profiles
- • No distinguishing surface or injury information available in the research
- • Market odds imply higher probabilities than our neutral 50% estimate