Marcel Granollers / Horacio Zeballos vs Joe Salisbury / Neal Skupski
Summary
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: Market-implied odds reflect an even match and our assessment (50%) matches that pricing; with the current odds there is no positive expected value, so we do not recommend a bet.
Highlights
- • Both sides listed at 1.877 — market views this as effectively coin-flip
- • Available player data is incomplete, preventing a confident positive-ev selection
Pros
- + Granollers has documented hard-court experience in the provided profile
- + Market symmetry reduces likelihood of a missed informational edge in available research
Cons
- - Research lacks recent form, H2H, and injury details for the other players/pair
- - Current decimal price (1.877) is below the min required odds (2.000) for value at our 50% estimate
Details
We see an even-money market (both sides 1.877) implying a 50% chance each. The available research is limited and fragmented: Marcel Granollers' profile shows extensive career experience including hard-court matches, while the other player profiles provided are incomplete and do not supply recent form, H2H, or injury information for a reliable edge. Given the lack of decisive, research-backed advantages for either pair and the market pricing, we estimate the true win probability to be about 50% for each side. At the quoted decimal 1.877 this yields negative expected value (EV ≈ -0.062 per unit), so there is no value to recommend a bet.
Key factors
- • Market is priced evenly at 1.877/1.877 implying ~50/50 — no market edge
- • Research contains limited and incomplete recent-form data for the pairs
- • Surface is outdoor hard; Granollers has documented hard-court experience but insufficient comparative data versus opponents