Meng Yi Chen/Tiana Tian Deng vs V. Panshina/D. Zelinskaya
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We find no value on the home underdog at 3.05 — our estimated 20% win chance yields negative EV; odds would need to be ~5.00+ to consider backing them.
Highlights
- • Current home odds 3.05 imply a 32.79% chance — above our 20% estimate
- • Significant information gap on opponents increases uncertainty
Pros
- + Decent upside if we underestimated opponents or recent form reverses
- + Large potential payout if a rare upset occurs
Cons
- - Negative expected value at current odds (EV = -0.39 per unit at 3.05)
- - Insufficient data on opposing pair and doubles-specific form
Details
We estimate the Meng Yi Chen/Tiana Tian Deng pair has a low true win probability versus V. Panshina/D. Zelinskaya given the available data. Both Meng and Tiana show weak recent records and limited winning form (combined singles W/L around 10-21 each and poor recent results), and we have no performance data for the opposing pair to justify an upset. The market price for the home pair is 3.05 (implied probability 32.79%), so the home side would need >32.79% true win probability to be +EV at that price. Our conservative estimated true probability is 20.0%, which gives EV = 0.20 * 3.05 - 1 = -0.39 (negative), so there is no value in backing the home side at current odds. To make this a profitable bet we would require minimum decimal odds of 5.000 (i.e., implied probability 20.0%). Given the sparse data and missing opponent info, we avoid recommending a side.
Key factors
- • Both home players have poor recent results and low win rates in provided profiles
- • Market implies the home pair must be >32.79% likely to win at 3.05
- • We lack any data on the opponents, increasing uncertainty and biasing us conservative
- • Doubles dynamics and chemistry are unknown from singles-focused profiles