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Miriam Skoch / Simona Waltert vs Anastasiya Sobolieva / Amarissa Kiara Toth

Tennis
2025-09-10 15:17
Start: 2025-09-11 12:30

Summary

No pick
EV: -0.191

Current Odds

Home 1.19|Away 4.27
Best Odds

Match Info

Match key: Miriam Skoch / Simona Waltert_Anastasiya Sobolieva / Amarissa Kiara Toth_2025-09-11

Analysis

Summary: With incomplete data on both pairings and only modest recent form shown for the two referenced players, the heavy favorite price (1.19) does not represent value by our estimate — we recommend no bet.

Highlights

  • Market implies ~84% for home at 1.19
  • Our conservative true probability estimate: 68% → fair odds ~1.471

Pros

  • + If the market information outside the provided research is correct, the home side could be a clear favorite
  • + Short price reflects perceived strength and/or matchup advantage

Cons

  • - Provided research lacks data on one player from each pairing (Skoch and Sobolieva), increasing uncertainty
  • - Profiles available show limited recent success and not enough doubles-specific evidence to justify 84% probability

Details

The market heavily favors the home pairing at 1.19 (implied ~84%). Our independent assessment finds insufficient evidence in the provided research to justify that high a probability. The only concrete profiles in the research (Simona Waltert and Amarissa Kiara Toth) show modest-to-poor recent results and do not provide clear doubles form or pairing strength; we have no data on Miriam Skoch or Anastasiya Sobolieva from the provided sources. Given limited, partial information and uncertainty about doubles chemistry, we conservatively estimate the home side's true win probability substantially below the market-implied 84% (we estimate ~68%). At that estimate the required fair decimal price would be ~1.471; the current 1.19 offers negative expected value, so we do not recommend a bet.

Key factors

  • Market-implied probability (1.19) is ~84% — very short price
  • Provided player profiles (Waltert and Toth) show limited recent success and do not indicate clear dominance
  • No provided data on Miriam Skoch or Anastasiya Sobolieva and no doubles-specific form or H2H in the research