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Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers play on 2025-10-25 23:00 in the NCAA (american football). Compare american football odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: -16.0%. No recommended side at current prices. Moneyline — Home: 1, Away: 12 (8.3%).
No clear edge at current prices. We recommend passing or waiting for line movement.
Home: 1, Away: 12. Odds may update frequently.
No bet recommended right now.
We compared the market prices (home moneyline 1.00, away moneyline 12.00) to a reasoned estimate of Wisconsin’s upset probability. Wisconsin is 2-5 with offensive struggles this season while Oregon is 6-1 and installed as a roughly 33–34 point favorite; the matchup is at Autzen (home field for Oregon). Historical H2H tightness is outweighed by current form, venue, and betting lines. At the supplied away price (decimal 12.0) the implied probability is 8.33%; based on Wisconsin’s form, roster and the large spread we estimate Wisconsin’s true win probability at ~7.0%, meaning the market overstates the upset chance and there is no positive EV on the Badgers at current prices. The home moneyline of 1.00 implies certainty and offers no value. Therefore we do not recommend a side at the provided prices.
Summary: No value at current prices: Oregon’s moneyline (1.00) is nonsensical for betting and Wisconsin at 12.0 does not offer positive EV versus our estimated ~7% upset probability.