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Philadelphia Flyers vs Minnesota Wild play on 2025-10-18 23:00 in the NHL (ice hockey). Compare ice hockey odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 23.1%. Suggested side: Minnesota Wild. Moneyline — Home: 2.72 (36.8%), Away: 2.16 (46.3%).
North America’s top professional ice hockey league with 32 teams.
82-game regular season; Stanley Cup Playoffs as best-of-7 series.
Official: https://www.nhl.com · Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Hockey_League
Our lean: Minnesota Wild. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 2.72, Away: 2.16. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Minnesota Wild moneyline given current prices.
We assume a conservative advantage to Minnesota despite playing away and, with no injury/form data available, we apply a modest home-ice adjustment. The market decimal for Minnesota (2.16) implies a win probability of ~46.3%, while our conservative estimated true probability is 57%. That gap produces clear value: EV = 0.57 * 2.16 - 1 = 0.2312 (23.12% ROI). We used the quoted away moneyline (2.16) for the EV calculation and set a conservative probability to avoid overfitting to unknown factors.
Summary: We find value on Minnesota at 2.16 based on a conservative 57% win probability, producing ~23% expected ROI versus the current market price.