R. Ho/J. Jung vs V. Durasovic/L. Hellum Lilleengen
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: With no detailed data, our conservative estimate puts the away side’s fair price at 2.381; the quoted 2.38 is just below that, so we find no value and recommend no bet.
Highlights
- • Away fair odds (our estimate): 2.381
- • Available away odds: 2.38 → tiny negative edge (~-0.0004)
Pros
- + We used conservative assumptions to avoid over-stating value
- + Clear break-even threshold provided if better odds become available
Cons
- - No match-specific data available (form, surface, injuries, H2H)
- - Edge is extremely small and sensitive to slight probability changes
Details
We lack matchup-specific data (form, surface, injuries, H2H), so we apply conservative probability estimates versus the market. The market prices the home pair at 1.53 (implied ~65.4%) and the away pair at 2.38 (implied ~42.0%). Given typical home/favorite bias in doubles and absent contrary intel, we estimate the away pair's true win probability at 42.0% (0.42). That makes the break-even decimal price 1 / 0.42 = 2.381. The available away price of 2.38 is marginally below our required 2.381, producing a tiny negative edge (EV ≈ -0.0004), so there is no positive-value bet at current publicly-quoted prices. We therefore recommend taking no side unless you can obtain odds >= 2.381 on the away team or the market moves in our favor.
Key factors
- • No specific matchup, form, surface or injury data available — conservative estimate only
- • Market-implied probabilities: home 65.4%, away 42.0% (from provided odds)
- • Break-even threshold for away at our estimate is 2.381; current price 2.38 is marginally short