Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar vs Rushil Khosla
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We see a small value on the away player at 1.85 because Rethin's limited experience and recent losses justify a higher win probability for the opponent, yielding ~3.6% EV.
Highlights
- • Market nearly even despite home player's weak recent form
- • Estimated true win chance for away (56%) exceeds implied probability at 1.85
Pros
- + Positive EV at current widely-available price (1.85)
- + Assessment built on clear negative indicators for the home player (limited matches, recent losses)
Cons
- - Very limited data set and no direct information on the away player in the provided research
- - Edge is small and could be erased by unobserved factors (surface preference, matchup specifics)
Details
We compare the market-implied probabilities (Home 1.87 -> 53.5%; Away 1.85 -> 54.1%) with our assessment of true chance. The only available player data shows the home player, Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar, has a very small sample (8 matches) and a losing record (3-5) with recent straight losses, indicating form and experience concerns that are not fully reflected in near-even market pricing. Given that, we estimate the away player is slightly superior here and assign a true win probability of 56% to the away side. At the available decimal price of 1.85 this yields a positive expected value (EV = 0.56*1.85 - 1 = 0.036, or ~3.6% ROI). The edge is modest and rests largely on Rethin's limited record and recent losses, so this is a small-value play rather than a strong certainty.
Key factors
- • Home player has limited pro experience (8 matches) and a 3-5 record
- • Recent form shows consecutive losses, suggesting vulnerability
- • Market prices are near-even, so a small tilt in true probability creates value