S. Buhadana/N. Koprivova vs T. Kashyap/A. Wirges
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: With no supporting match information and a conservative 87.0% win estimate for the away side, the current price (1.14) is below our minimum required odds (1.149), so we do not find value and recommend no bet.
Highlights
- • Away implied probability at 1.14 is ~87.7%.
- • Break-even odds given our estimate are ~1.149; current price is shorter, producing negative EV.
Pros
- + Market consensus strongly favors the away team, suggesting bookmaker confidence.
- + If further positive information on the away pair emerges, small-value backing could appear at slightly longer prices.
Cons
- - No external data to validate our probability estimate; high uncertainty.
- - Current favorite price (1.14) is too short to overcome even a conservative estimate—negative expected return.
Details
We have no match-specific research (surface, form, H2H or injuries) and the market strongly favors the away pair at 1.14 (implied ~87.7%). Being conservative, we estimate the away pair's true win probability at 87.0% (0.87). At that estimate the current price of 1.14 produces a slight negative expectation (EV = 0.87*1.14 - 1 = -0.0082). To justify a back of the favorite, we would need decimal odds of at least 1.149. Given the absence of confirming data and the market heavy lean, there is no reliable value at the quoted prices, so we recommend no bet.
Key factors
- • No independent match data available (form, surface, injuries, H2H).
- • Market strongly favors away (1.14), implying ~87.7% win chance.
- • Our conservative true probability (87.0%) is slightly below the market-implied break-even threshold.