Seda Baslilar vs Juliette Trunet
Summary
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: We find no value bet here: Juliette's available data supports ~52.5% win chance, which is below the market-implied 54.8% at 1.826, so neither side offers positive expected value.
Highlights
- • Juliette career win% ~52.5% (559-507)
- • Market implies a higher chance for Juliette (54.8%) than evidence supports
Pros
- + Juliette has a long track record and a modest positive career win rate
- + Both sides priced closely, so small edges would be required for value
Cons
- - Insufficient information on opponent Seda Baslilar to justify backing the home player
- - Recent form details are sparse and include losses, weakening a case for Juliette being undervalued
Details
We rely only on the provided player profile for Juliette Trunet and the quoted market prices. Juliette's career win rate is approximately 52.5% (559 wins / 1066 matches). The market currently prices Juliette at 1.826 (implied 54.78%) and Seda Baslilar at 1.909 (implied 52.39%). Our best-supported estimate for Juliette's true win probability is ~52.5% based on career record and the limited recent-match snippets, which implies no value at the 1.826 price (required probability for a breakeven bet at 1.826 is 54.78%). Therefore neither side shows positive expected value given the available evidence and current odds; we do not recommend a bet.
Key factors
- • Juliette Trunet career win rate ~52.5% across 1,066 matches
- • Market favours Juliette at implied 54.78% (1.826) — higher than our estimated true probability
- • No usable information provided on Seda Baslilar, increasing uncertainty and reducing justification to fade the market