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Seda Baslilar vs Juliette Trunet

Tennis
2025-09-04 07:19
Start: 2025-09-04 09:00

Summary

No pick
EV: -0.041

Current Odds

Home 1.909|Away 14
Best Odds

Match Info

Match key: Seda Baslilar_Juliette Trunet_2025-09-04

Analysis

Summary: We find no value bet here: Juliette's available data supports ~52.5% win chance, which is below the market-implied 54.8% at 1.826, so neither side offers positive expected value.

Highlights

  • Juliette career win% ~52.5% (559-507)
  • Market implies a higher chance for Juliette (54.8%) than evidence supports

Pros

  • + Juliette has a long track record and a modest positive career win rate
  • + Both sides priced closely, so small edges would be required for value

Cons

  • - Insufficient information on opponent Seda Baslilar to justify backing the home player
  • - Recent form details are sparse and include losses, weakening a case for Juliette being undervalued

Details

We rely only on the provided player profile for Juliette Trunet and the quoted market prices. Juliette's career win rate is approximately 52.5% (559 wins / 1066 matches). The market currently prices Juliette at 1.826 (implied 54.78%) and Seda Baslilar at 1.909 (implied 52.39%). Our best-supported estimate for Juliette's true win probability is ~52.5% based on career record and the limited recent-match snippets, which implies no value at the 1.826 price (required probability for a breakeven bet at 1.826 is 54.78%). Therefore neither side shows positive expected value given the available evidence and current odds; we do not recommend a bet.

Key factors

  • Juliette Trunet career win rate ~52.5% across 1,066 matches
  • Market favours Juliette at implied 54.78% (1.826) — higher than our estimated true probability
  • No usable information provided on Seda Baslilar, increasing uncertainty and reducing justification to fade the market