Simon Reveniau vs Sacha Grandvincent
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: No value at current prices: the home favorite is priced too short relative to the limited evidence we have, and the underdog lacks any researched data to justify the quoted 7.5 price.
Highlights
- • Bookmakers demand Reveniau be >92.6% likely to win for value at 1.08 — unsupported by the available profile
- • Insufficient information on Sacha Grandvincent prevents treating 7.5 as a value play
Pros
- + Reveniau has recent match activity on hard courts
- + Home designation and market confidence suggest bookmaker expects a clear mismatch
Cons
- - Small sample size and mixed results for Reveniau make extremely short odds unjustifiable
- - No opponent data provided, increasing uncertainty and asymmetric information risk
Details
The market price (Simon Reveniau 1.08) implies an extremely high win probability (~92.6%). Our assessment based only on the provided profile for Reveniau shows a very limited sample (4 matches, 2-2) on hard courts with mixed recent results; that evidence does not justify a >92% true win probability. Given the lack of any opponent data for Sacha Grandvincent in the research, we cannot credibly assign him a >13.3% chance (the break-even threshold for a 7.5 quote). We therefore find no positive expected value on either side at the quoted prices: the favorite is too short and the underdog has insufficient supporting data to be priced above break-even.
Key factors
- • Extremely short market price for the home favorite (1.08) implies >92% win probability to be profitable
- • Reveniau's available record is small (4 matches, 2-2) with mixed recent results on hard courts
- • No research provided on the opponent (Sacha Grandvincent), preventing confident undervalue identification