T. Mcgiffin/E. Tomase vs M. Lewis/B. Walker
Summary
Current Odds
Match Info
Analysis
Summary: Small value on the home side (T. Mcgiffin/E. Tomase) given M. Lewis's weak recent form and a market price that slightly overvalues the away team; edge is marginal.
Highlights
- • Estimated true probability for home: 53.0%
- • Min fair odds for value: 1.887; current home odds: 1.89
Pros
- + Slight positive expected value at current home odds
- + Away player M. Lewis shows subpar recent form, supporting a home lean
Cons
- - Edge is extremely small (EV ≈ 0.17% of stake)
- - Research is limited (no doubles form, partners' records, or match context)
Details
We estimate a slight edge to the home pairing T. Mcgiffin/E. Tomase because the quoted moneyline is balanced (Home 1.89 vs Away 1.83) despite the available form data showing M. Lewis in poor recent form (10-21 career matches, recent losing stretch). Given the limited research (only M. Lewis profile) and no strong evidence supporting the away side, we assign a true win probability for the home team of 53.0%. At that probability the fair decimal price is ~1.887; the market price of 1.89 slightly exceeds that, producing a small positive expected value. We remain cautious because the dataset is sparse (no doubles-specific form, partner info, or injuries), so the edge is marginal.
Key factors
- • M. Lewis recent form is poor (10-21 record, recent losses)
- • Market prices are nearly even; home price (1.89) is slightly above implied fair price
- • Limited doubles-specific data and partner information increases uncertainty