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Winnipeg Jets vs Calgary Flames play on 2025-10-25 00:00 in the NHL (ice hockey). Compare ice hockey odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 11.0%. Suggested side: Winnipeg Jets. Moneyline — Home: 1.79 (55.9%), Away: 3.5 (28.6%).
North America’s top professional ice hockey league with 32 teams.
82-game regular season; Stanley Cup Playoffs as best-of-7 series.
Official: https://www.nhl.com · Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Hockey_League
Our lean: Winnipeg Jets. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.79, Away: 3.5. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Winnipeg Jets moneyline given current prices.
We see clear form and matchup edges favoring Winnipeg: multiple previews note the Jets are 4-1 to start the season while Calgary is 1-5, and projected lineups keep Winnipeg's top drivers intact. The market currently prices Winnipeg at 1.79 (implied win prob ~55.9%); several publications showed a -150 moneyline (decimal ~1.667, implied 60%), reflecting bookmakers already seeing Winnipeg as favorite. After weighing form, H2H trends and lineups, we estimate Winnipeg's true win probability at 62%. At that probability the current price of 1.79 offers positive expected value (EV = 0.62*1.79 - 1 ≈ +0.11 per unit). In short: the market understates Winnipeg's advantage by ~6 percentage points versus our model, creating value on the home moneyline.
Summary: We find value on the Winnipeg moneyline: our 62% fair probability vs the market-implied ~55.9% yields ~+11% ROI at 1.79.