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AS Gosier vs FC Lorient play on 2025-12-20 14:30 in the Coupe de France (football). Compare football odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 5432.0%. Suggested side: FC Lorient. Moneyline — Home: 141 (0.7%), Away: 56 (1.8%).
Global 11v11 sport with two 45-minute halves; major leagues worldwide.
Our lean: FC Lorient. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 141, Away: 56. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: FC Lorient moneyline given current prices.
We assess FC Lorient as the clear superior side based on multiple match previews and predictions that favour Lorient (professional Ligue 1 side) against AS Gosier (non-professional/low-tier opponent) in a one-off Coupe de France tie. The consensus research signals a very high probability of a Lorient victory; using conservative judgment we estimate Lorient's true win chance far exceeds the implied probability from the current market moneyline. Current decimal odds for the away side are 56.0, which imply an implied win probability of ~1.79%. Our estimated true probability (97%) produces a very large positive expected value at those quoted odds (EV = 0.97 * 56.0 - 1 = 54.32 units per 1 unit staked). The minimum fair decimal odds given our probability is only 1.031, so the market price of 56.0 represents a clear pricing anomaly and strong theoretical value. That said, such extreme prices commonly reflect market errors, suspended markets, or posting mistakes — creating execution risk (bets may be voided or limits applied).