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Stade Bethunois vs Sochaux-Montbeliard play on 2025-12-20 17:00 in the Coupe de France (football). Compare football odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 94.3%. Suggested side: Sochaux-Montbeliard. Moneyline — Home: 12 (8.3%), Away: 5.25 (19.0%).
Global 11v11 sport with two 45-minute halves; major leagues worldwide.
Our lean: Sochaux-Montbeliard. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 12, Away: 5.25. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Sochaux-Montbeliard moneyline given current prices.
Multiple preview/prediction sites in the Research favor FC Sochaux as the likely winner; one quantified source (Forebet) assigns Sochaux a 48% win probability. The current bookmaker decimal price for Sochaux is 5.25 (implied probability ~19.0%), creating a large discrepancy between public predictions and the market price. To account for model uncertainty and the limited hard data (no detailed injury/lineup info in the sources), we conservatively estimate Sochaux's true win probability at 37%. At that probability the bet has strong value versus the available 5.25 price (EV = 0.37 * 5.25 - 1 = 0.9425). We therefore recommend betting the away side only because the estimated true probability materially exceeds the market-implied probability; however uncertainty around cup rotations, missing lineup/injury info and potential home advantage variance make this a higher-risk value opportunity.
Summary: We recommend backing Sochaux (away) because consensus previews assign a substantially higher win probability than the market-implied 19%, producing strong positive EV at the 5.25 price despite uncertainty.