Strasbourg AlsaceVSUSL Dunkerque

Who will win Strasbourg Alsace vs USL Dunkerque?

Our lean: USL Dunkerque. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.

What are the odds for Strasbourg Alsace vs USL Dunkerque?

Home: 1.503, Away: 5.76. Odds may update frequently.

What is the best bet for Strasbourg Alsace vs USL Dunkerque?

Best bet: USL Dunkerque moneyline given current prices.

Details

We find value on USL Dunkerque at the current decimal price because the market-implied probability (1/5.8 = 17.2%) is materially below our assessed win probability. Multiple prediction models and the H2H context indicate a competitive fixture with frequent draws and close results: one model even gives Dunkerque a strong single-match probability (35%), and several sources rate this tie as likely to produce an away/draw outcome. Head-to-head history shows balanced results and low scoring, which raises the upset potential in a cup tie. Conservatively estimating Dunkerque's true win probability at 22% (0.22) produces a positive expected value versus the market price of 5.8. By contrast the home price of 1.54 implies ~64.9% and we do not believe Strasbourg's win probability reaches that level given the mixed predictions and H2H competitiveness, so the fair value lies with the away under the current quotes.