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BC Dubai vs KK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade play on 2025-11-11 16:00 in the Euroleague (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 15.4%. Suggested side: KK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade. Moneyline — Home: 1.74 (57.5%), Away: 2.22 (45.0%).
High-scoring 5v5 with a 24-second shot clock; NBA and global leagues.
Our lean: KK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.74, Away: 2.22. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: KK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade moneyline given current prices.
We find value on KK Crvena Zvezda (away) at current moneyline 2.22. Multiple model-driven previews and head-to-head analyses in the research lean toward Crvena Zvezda as the stronger side in this EuroLeague fixture; BC Dubai is priced as the home favorite (1.74) likely because of venue/home-bias rather than a clear gap in quality. Given Crvena Zvezda's deeper EuroLeague pedigree and the prediction consensus pointing to an away upset or at least a close game, we estimate Crvena's true win probability materially above the implied probability from 2.22 (which implies ~45.0%). Our assessed true probability of 52% yields a positive expected value (EV = 0.52 * 2.22 - 1 ≈ 0.154), so the current away price appears to be mispriced and offers profitable value under a value-betting approach. We note limited explicit injury or rotation information in the provided sources, so we apply a conservative uplift to account for home team advantage and model variance.
Summary: We recommend backing the away side, KK Crvena Zvezda, at 2.22 because our estimated win probability (52%) produces a positive EV (~15%).