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BC Olympiakos Piraeus vs BC Kolossos Rhodes play on 2025-12-21 11:00 in the Greek Basketball League (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 50.0%. Suggested side: BC Kolossos Rhodes. Moneyline — Home: 1.01 (99.0%), Away: 15 (6.7%).
High-scoring 5v5 with a 24-second shot clock; NBA and global leagues.
Our lean: BC Kolossos Rhodes. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.01, Away: 15. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: BC Kolossos Rhodes moneyline given current prices.
We see a large market skew: the home moneyline of 1.01 implies ~99% probability, which is extremely inflated relative to independent model outputs in the Research that put Olympiacos around 90% to win (leaving ~10% for Kolossos). Using a conservative true probability for Kolossos of 10% (consistent with the published algorithmic forecast of ~90% for Olympiacos), the away line at 15.0 yields clear positive expected value. The market is overpricing the favorite (Olympiacos) and underpricing a plausible upset chance for Kolossos; therefore the Kolossos moneyline is value given current prices. We do note high variance and the result is a longshot outcome even if value is present.
Summary: Kolossos at 15.0 offers value versus an overbet Olympiacos: if Kolossos has ~10% true chance, the away line carries ~+50% ROI on a unit stake.