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Galatasaray SK vs Uni Girona CB play on 2026-02-04 17:00 in the Euroleague, Women (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 70.5%. Suggested side: Uni Girona CB. Moneyline — Home: 1.38 (72.5%), Away: 3.1 (32.3%).
High-scoring 5v5 with a 24-second shot clock; NBA and global leagues.
Our lean: Uni Girona CB. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.38, Away: 3.1. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Uni Girona CB moneyline given current prices.
Bookmakers currently price Galatasaray as a heavy favorite (1.38 implied win prob ~72.5%) while Uni Girona is available at 3.10 (implied ~32.3%). The research shows Girona as a stronger EuroLeague Women side (listed as #7 in the competition listing) and they beat Galatasaray head-to-head on 14/01/2026 (82-68). Several prediction services inclining toward Girona further support the view that Girona is undervalued by the market for this fixture. Allowing conservatively for home advantage, we estimate Girona's win probability materially above the market-implied 32% (we use 55%). At decimal 3.10 this produces strong positive expected value (EV = 0.55*3.10 - 1 = +0.705). Even if our probability is overstated, there is a comfortable margin to the market price, so the away side represents value at the quoted odds.
Summary: We favor Uni Girona on the moneyline at 3.10 — available odds substantially underrate Girona given their recent head-to-head win and competition standing, producing a large positive EV at our estimated 55% true win probability.