Minnesota Golden GophersVSMichigan State Spartans

Who will win Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans?

Our lean: Minnesota Golden Gophers. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.

What are the odds for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans?

Home: 3.65, Away: 1.25. Odds may update frequently.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans?

Best bet: Minnesota Golden Gophers moneyline given current prices.

Details

We find value on Minnesota at the available moneyline (3.65). Forebet's model places Michigan State at roughly a 68% chance to win (implying Minnesota ~32%), and while multiple previews emphasize Michigan State as the clear favorite and note Minnesota's poor recent form, the market-implied probability for Minnesota at 3.65 is only ~27.4%. Using a conservative estimated true probability of 32% for Minnesota (consistent with the Forebet split and factoring home-court into the underdog's chance), the bet offers positive expected value: 0.32 * 3.65 - 1 = +0.168 (16.8% ROI). We therefore recommend backing the home underdog only because the current decimal price exceeds the minimum fair price (3.125) implied by our probability estimate. If you believe Minnesota's form (0-5) or other previews materially depress their true win chance below ~30%, this value disappears, so this is moderate-risk value rather than a heavy favorite play.