Loading...
Preparing your betting insights...
Loading...
Preparing your betting insights...
Preparing your betting insights...
Preparing your betting insights...
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs FIU Panthers play on 2026-02-05 00:30 in the NCAA (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 21.6%. Suggested side: FIU Panthers. Moneyline — Home: 1.32 (75.8%), Away: 3.2 (31.3%).
High-scoring 5v5 with a 24-second shot clock; NBA and global leagues.
Our lean: FIU Panthers. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.32, Away: 3.2. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: FIU Panthers moneyline given current prices.
We find value on FIU (away) at the current moneyline. The market prices Middle Tennessee at 1.32 (implying ~75.8% win probability) while FIU is 3.20 (implying ~31.25%). Recent form and matchup signals point toward an underestimation of FIU's chances: Middle Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last five games and recent H2H/preview notes show FIU earning a decisive win in their recent meeting. Taking a conservative view of those factors, we estimate FIU's true win probability at 38%, which is materially higher than the market-implied 31.25%, producing positive expected value. At our estimate the minimum fair decimal price for FIU is ~2.632; the current market price of 3.20 offers a meaningful edge (EV ≈ +0.216 per unit).
Summary: We recommend backing FIU on the moneyline — the current 3.20 price looks to offer value versus our 38% win probability estimate, yielding ~21.6% ROI at these odds.