Houston RocketsVSBoston Celtics

Who will win Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics?

Our lean: Boston Celtics. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.

What are the odds for Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics?

Home: 1.427, Away: 3.01. Odds may update frequently.

What is the best bet for Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics?

Best bet: Boston Celtics moneyline given current prices.

Details

We see Houston listed as a clear market favorite at 1.427 (implied ~70.1%) despite near-identical season records and recent form that favors Houston only marginally. We estimate the true win probability for Boston at ~41% based on comparative records (Houston 31-17, Boston 31-18), last-five form (Houston 4-1, Boston 3-2) and typical home-court edge — which we judge closer to a ~59/41 split rather than the market's ~70/30. At decimal odds 3.01 for Boston, the expected-value calculation is 0.41 * 3.01 - 1 = +0.234 (23.4% ROI on a 1-unit stake), which exceeds the breakeven requirement (min required odds 2.439). The market appears to have over-weighted Houston (likely home bias and juice), creating value on Boston ML at available prices. We therefore recommend taking the Boston moneyline only because it offers positive EV at the current quoted price.