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Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Real Madrid play on 2025-11-25 18:00 in the Euroleague (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 13.5%. Suggested side: Hapoel Tel-Aviv. Moneyline — Home: 1.72 (58.1%), Away: 2.26 (44.2%).
High-scoring 5v5 with a 24-second shot clock; NBA and global leagues.
Our lean: Hapoel Tel-Aviv. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.72, Away: 2.26. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Hapoel Tel-Aviv moneyline given current prices.
We rely principally on the available predictive model that assigns Hapoel Tel-Aviv a 66% win probability. The current decimal price for the home side is 1.72, which implies a market probability of ~58.1% (1/1.72). Comparing our estimated true probability (66%) to the market-implied probability (58.1%) shows value: EV = 0.66 * 1.72 - 1 = 0.1352 (≈13.5% ROI on a 1-unit stake). Key uncertainties that temper confidence are a reported injury loss (Tomer Ginat) and unclear venue reporting (some sources list Arena Botevgrad), but the predictive edge at the current price is still material. We therefore recommend backing the home side at the quoted market price of 1.72 because expected_value > 0.