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Kristianstad HK vs Skara HF play on 2025-11-06 18:00 in the Elitserien Women (handball). Compare handball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 24.3%. Suggested side: Kristianstad HK. Moneyline — Home: 3.55 (28.2%), Away: 1.43 (69.9%).
Our lean: Kristianstad HK. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 3.55, Away: 1.43. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Kristianstad HK moneyline given current prices.
We see the market heavily favors Skara (away) at 1.43 while Kristianstad sits at 3.55. Research shows very close recent H2H results (most recently a 41-40 Skara win), indicating matches between these teams are tight and volatile. Given the narrow margin in recent encounters and the unpredictability of high-scoring handball matches, we estimate Kristianstad's true win probability at 35% versus the market-implied ~28% (from 3.55). That gap produces positive value on the Kristianstad moneyline: EV = 0.35 * 3.55 - 1 = +0.243. We therefore recommend backing the home side at current prices because the market appears to be overpricing Skara's edge and underpricing Kristianstad's chance in a closely contested fixture.
Summary: We find value on Kristianstad at 3.55 because their estimated win probability (35%) implies meaningful positive EV versus the market price.