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Le Havre vs ES Besancon Feminin Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

HANDBALL

LFH DIVISION 1 WOMEN

Le HavreES Besancon Feminin

Q: Who will win Le Havre vs ES Besancon Feminin?

Our model leans toward Le Havre based on expected value and odds.

Q: What are the odds for Le Havre vs ES Besancon Feminin?

Approximate moneyline prices — Home: 10, Away: 1.08.

Q: What is the best bet for Le Havre vs ES Besancon Feminin?

Recommended bet: Le Havre moneyline, given the current value edge.

2025-11-05 18:00 (in Started)

BEST ODDS

Recommended Bet

Pick: Le Havre

Edge: 50.0%

Risk

Home @ 10 • 10.0%

BEST ODDS

Scorecard

Overall

Overall score

Match preview

Le Havre vs ES Besancon Feminin play on 2025-11-05 18:00 in the LFH Division 1, Women (handball). Compare handball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.

Estimated value edge: 50.0%. Suggested side: Le Havre. Moneyline — Home: 10 (10.0%), Away: 1.08 (92.6%).

Key factors

Le Havre's poor recent form (2 wins in 11) but non-zero upset potential
Market heavily favors Besançon at 1.08 (implied ~92.6%), likely overpricing blowout certainty
Underdog price of 10.0 > fair odds given estimated true probability (1/0.15 = 6.667)

Pros and cons

Pros

Strong positive EV at current price (50% ROI per unit)
Simple straight moneyline bet with large upside if upset occurs

Cons

High variance — underdogs in handball are inherently risky
Limited publicly-available matchup/injury detail; estimate relies mainly on form and market discrepancy

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FAQs

Who will win Le Havre vs ES Besancon Feminin?

Our lean: Le Havre. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.

What are the odds for Le Havre vs ES Besancon Feminin?

Home: 10, Away: 1.08. Odds may update frequently.

What is the best bet for Le Havre vs ES Besancon Feminin?

Best bet: Le Havre moneyline given current prices.

Details

The market prices Besançon as an almost certain winner (away 1.08, implied ~92.6%), which leaves Le Havre trading at 10.0 (implied 10%). Based on the research: Le Havre have only 2 wins in their last 11 Division 1 matches, so they are clearly the weaker side, but that recent win rate (~18%) and match variance in handball make a true-chance for Le Havre materially higher than the 10% implied by bookmakers. We estimate Le Havre's true probability at 15% — a conservative blend of their recent win rate and the heavy-favourite market pricing — which creates value on the 10.0 quote. EV calculation: EV = p * decimal_odds - 1 = 0.15 * 10.0 - 1 = +0.50 (50% ROI per 1-unit stake). The minimum fair decimal odds for this probability is 6.667; the current 10.0 substantially exceeds that threshold. We therefore recommend the Le Havre moneyline as a value play at the quoted price, while acknowledging the high variance and that Besançon is still the strong favorite.

Le HavreVSES Besancon Feminin