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Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs Northern Illinois Huskies play on 2025-11-22 01:00 in the NCAA (basketball). Compare basketball odds, line movement, and our model’s edge before placing your bet.
Estimated value edge: 110.0%. Suggested side: Northern Illinois Huskies. Moneyline — Home: 1.12 (89.3%), Away: 7 (14.3%).
High-scoring 5v5 with a 24-second shot clock; NBA and global leagues.
Our lean: Northern Illinois Huskies. This pick is based on expected value and current odds.
Home: 1.12, Away: 7. Odds may update frequently.
Best bet: Northern Illinois Huskies moneyline given current prices.
We find clear value on Northern Illinois. The market prices Northern Illinois at decimal 7.00 (implied win probability 14.29%). From the provided research Loyola Chicago are 1-4 with poor recent shooting (team FG% near mid-30s) while Northern Illinois is 2-2 with more efficient scoring (leading scorers showing higher FG%). There is also venue ambiguity in the sources indicating Gentile Arena, which would favor Northern Illinois and suggests the market may be overstating Loyola's edge. Conservatively estimating Northern Illinois' true win probability at 30.0% (0.30) produces a required fair decimal price of 3.333; the available 7.00 line substantially exceeds that, yielding a large positive edge (EV = 0.30 * 7.00 - 1 = 1.10). Even if our probability estimate is optimistic, the market would have to more than halve our probability (to ~14%) to remove value. We therefore recommend backing the away side at current prices.
Summary: We find strong value on Northern Illinois at 7.00; our conservative 30% win probability implies a large positive EV (≈+110% ROI) so we recommend the away moneyline.